The conclusion of the 2023 season didnt just bring the start of the offseason. It also finalized the lottery odds for the top picks in next summers amateur draft ( ). As part of the Players A sociations efforts to reduce the incentive for non-competitive teams to lose games, the latest collective bargaining agreement introduced a lottery to determine the top six overall selections. A teams odds of landing a higher pick are still weighted in favor of the clubs with the worst records, although the three worst teams all have identical chances of landing the #1 selection. If two teams have the same record, the club with the worse record in the preceding season gets the better odds. The odds arent simply the inverse of the previous years standings, however. One of the CBAs anti-tanking measures is to limit how often a team can pick within the lottery. A teams that does not receive revenue sharing payments and landed a lottery pick in one draft is prohibited from picking higher than 10th the following season. Revenue sharing recipients cannot select above 10th if they had a lottery selection in the preceding two drafts. That rules the Nationals out from selecting any higher than 10th next year. Washington is not a revenue sharing recipient and had the #2 pick (which it used on ) in 2023. Last summers other lottery teams were the Pirates, Tigers, Rangers, Twins and As. Texas and Minnesota are ineligible for a lottery selection after making the playoffs. The lottery only comes into play for the first round of Roger Dorn Jersey the draft. From the second round onwards, pick order is determined in inverse order of the prior seasons standings (aside from compensatory and competitive balance selections). The odds for next years #1 selection are as follows: As (50-112): 18.3% Royals (56-106): 18.3% Rockies (59-103): 18.3% White Sox (61-101): 14.7% Cardinals (71-91): 8.3% Angels (73-89): 6.1% Mets (75-87): 4.3% Pirates (76-86, 62-100 in 22): 3% Guardians (76-86, 92-70 in 22): 2% Nationals (71-91): Ineligible Tigers (78-84, 66-96 in 22): 1.6% Red Sox (78-84, 78-84 in 22): 1.2% Giants (79-83): 1% Reds (82-80, 62-100 in 22): 0.9% Padres (82-80, 89-73 in 22): 0.7% Yankees (82-80, 99-63 in 22): 0.6% Cubs (83-79): 0.4% Mariners (88-74): 0.2% After the first six selections are drawn, the remainder of the first round will run in inverse order of the standings among the teams not awarded a lottery pick. The As will therefore pick no lower than 7th, the Royals no lower than 8th, and so on. A team with a record outside the bottom six would only be vaulted up if drawn into the top six , although they could move up marginally as teams in front of them fall based on their luxury tax status (as explained below). The draft order for the remainder of the first round is determined by how far a team advances in the playoffs, its revenue sharing status, and its regular season record. These selections are fixed; a playoff team cannot move up via the lottery. 19. Marlins 20. Brewers 21. Rays 22. Blue Jays 23. Twins 24. Orioles 25. Dodgers 26. Braves 27. Phillies 28. Astros 29. Diamondbacks 30. Rangers A final note: a team that exceeds the third tier of luxury penalization (set at $273MM in 23) generally sees its top pick moved back by 10 spots. If that team lands a top six selection, then its second-highest selection is moved back by 10 spots. The Mets, Yankees and Padres are believed to have surpa sed the $273MM mark. None of those teams made the playoffs, so they all have a chance albeit a minimal one for the Padres and Yankees at a lottery pick. The drawing is held annually at the Winter Meetings. Collazo reports that this years iteration will take place on December 5 at 2:30 pm Central, but the results will be held back for two hours so MLB Network can televise them at 4:30. Baseball America published a list in July, with Wake Forest first baseman leading the cla s. Obviously, much can change when the amateur season plays out next spring. Graig Nettles Jersey